January Monthly Business Aha's

From spaghetti to funnel

Epistemic status: field notes from one month of experience

1 February 2026
1200 words - 5 min read
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TL;DR

Monthly Business Aha's = MBA; to make serious decisions you need numbers and a good funnel; when you are in exploration mode an MVP is enough; it is more important to know who buys your product than who uses it; to identify the ICP ask your current customers; clients can be fans or value exchangers.

■ Introduction

This series was born out of a desire to have something regular on my blog.
Since I often find myself thinking about and discussing my activities with friends, I decided to share the most important lessons of the month, in the hope that they might be useful (or even just interesting) to someone.
Monthly Business Aha's” is just to make fun of MBAs.


■ Don't change your price, contents, strategy, or anything really... until you have enough numbers

To make decisions, you need data, and to get data, you need numbers.

At the beginning of January, I was working with a dysfunctional spaghetti funnel: it was impossible to measure, wasted our energy, and was labyrinthine (we were moving people through 5-6 steps).
We transformed the funnel into three simple steps, and now the problem is measurable and actionable: we don't have to feed three or four openings of the funnel, but only one.

In hindsight, it's a very trivial thing, and I'm surprised I didn't notice it sooner.
I mean: IT'S CALLED A FUNNEL, NOT A SPAGHETTI BOWL!
This is an interesting aspect of “doing business”: the fact that you have to make some mistakes in order to internalize them, even if they are absolutely trivial.

■ Exploration is cool... but it costs time

Exploring is important, but be prepared to trash projects and sacrifice time.

In the spaghetti funnel mentioned, we had a hypothesis: by inviting YouTube Shorts doom scrollers, we would increase live viewers, newsletter subscriptions, and ultimately sales.
We tried online services that extract highlights from live streams, but they are too expensive and create low-quality shorts.
So I implemented an automation that took me a month and costs much less.

After a couple of months, we concluded that the hypothesis is false: out of a dozen weekly shorts, we had 50K monthly shorts views and... 8 conversions per month to live streams.

It wasn't a failure: we explored and excluded this possibility.
But in hindsight, knowing that we could have discarded it, I would have spent less time and created a less perfect tool (more of an MVP), so that we could test and decide without investing too many resources in something potentially useless.
(In my defense: it worked with Hormozi, so why shouldn't it work with us???)

■ Know who's buying

Not those who derive value from the product, but those who decide to purchase it.

A friend and I are considering a product to sell to Italian doctors.
After a quick analysis, we identified three major competitors selling similar products.
BUT: they sell large packages to local government entities that manage doctors, while we would sell directly to doctors (who are self-employed but have a government contract... Italian bureaucracy, don't ask).

This is a basic lesson for startups, but I'm glad it came in handy and didn't remain in the hyperuranium of business ideas.

■ Find your target within your clients

There is a very simple way to identify your target audience: ask your target audience!

I was thinking about the ICP of a business I work with when I realized that two factors determine the best type of customer: age and experience with competitors.
How did I realize this? By investigating current customers.
Once I noticed this, I had forms filled out for each customer in order to gather as much information as possible.
And now we have a very clear ICP.
This is not an original idea: as often happens to me, I think I internalized it after reading a post by A Smart Bear.
I find it funny to think that before doing the obvious (talking to current customers), I was searching for who-knows-what strategy to identify ICPs...

I think I'm at the stage where I believe that since we're talking about business, i.e. “serious stuff,” we need serious solutions.

■ Fans vs customers

Are your clients fans or customers?

It all started with a very interesting post on A Smart Bear.
I have dealt with two businesses that have two different types of customers (according to the post): “allies” and “value exchangers.
The difference I noticed between these two (both in the coaching sector) is the type of value that clients receive: subjective and objective.

When you can say, “You give me X$ and with my knowledge you will make +Y%,” the customer pulls out their calculator, and if it’s worth it, they find out if they like the product, and then they buy it.
Marketing is standard: you explain what you do, show social proof, do webinars...
It becomes an exchange of value, and customers are “value exchangers”: they expect +Y% in exchange for X$.

When you sell writing coaching (teaching a writing method), you encounter people saying “But author XXX does the opposite! And he is wealthy and famous!” because we are not dealing with objective data.
Specifically regarding writing methods, the prevailing belief is that there is no correct approach (even though the opposite can be demonstrated...).
In my limited experience, this greatly complicates marketing and makes it difficult to convert skeptics.
However, this situation creates a few big fans who buy and are VERY satisfied (ALL customers have told us that they got MUCH more value than the price, sometimes even 10 times more value!).
Essentially, you win by creating fans, not by attracting customers.

The problem lies in the fact that the game takes place on a subjective level, which makes it difficult to manage.
In the objective case of “X$ in exchange for +Y%,” if a person does not trust the deal, they know that they are leaving “+Y%” on the table.
They can compare it with other similar (equally objective) products and can objectively decide whether it is a good purchase (“X$ is a fraction of what I earn, even if it doesn't work, it's worth trying if I could earn +Y%”).

In the subjective case, however, opinion comes into play: products cannot be compared and it is difficult to understand whether it's worth the price.
If they think, “That's not true! Stephen King writes in this other way...” it is VERY difficult to change their mind.
(Not impossible: behavioral change exists, but it takes time, money, and expertise.)

BUT!
There is a shortcut: bring the game back to an objective level.
There are writing coaches who make a fortune selling the promise of publication.
They show that many of their clients have been published (with publishers they work with...), so the offer becomes “X$ in exchange for (the possibility of) publication.
Clients become “value exchangers” again, and the business dynamics become the usual ones.
(NOTE: promising to publish is almost always (in order to avoid being sued...) a lie, given how publishing works in Italy, so this is a path we are NOT taking).

Next month, I hope to be able to offer a lesson on “How to manage customer-fans,” but for now, I have only realized that there are different types of customers.